stuttgart1482 wrote:Keep in mind that United's ATI with Lufthansa continues to grow. Look at KLM-Northwest for an example of the power of ATI (granted, under a joint venture as well): five daily flights between Amsterdam and Detroit, markets which are both smaller than Germany and Washington.
Good Point Aaron, I absolutely agree the market is much bigger than AMS-DTW, but I think we'll likely see more flights than a larger aircraft. I could imagine a seventh or even eighth Germany - IAD flight maybe on LH A340 or A330.
No arguments on most of the points you raise, except this one: FRA would be the only conceivable A380 destination from IAD, but an increase in frequency would only make sense if there were connecting banks at either end to feed the international flight. Given United's historical preference to underserve IAD and FRA being effectively at runway capacity, I'd question whether additional banks at either airport are forthcoming. Of course, you touched on IAD-Germany as a whole--my comments don't discount the possibility of Berlin or Dusseldorf (both served in the past), or additional Munich flights (which are possible).